![]() ![]() Subrat Patnaik and Michael Msika report for Bloomberg News.Ĭopyright 2022 Bloomberg. Even for memory-chip makers that have seen a sharp drop in demand, he said it’s “impossible to tell” when the bottom will arrive and how sharp that will be. ![]() The inflection point probably won’t come until 2024 when inflation cools and appetite for chips recovers, according to Richard Windsor, founder of independent researcher Radio Free Mobile. Not all investors are optimistic that the chip industry will have such a quick turnaround. stocks have not even guided down yet, though stocks are down meaningfully,” wrote analysts led by Joseph Moore. “We see Asia stocks emerging from the downturn more rapidly than the U.S. While bad news is all stacked up against the sector, there’s probably one good sign: Typically the stocks bottom out well before an earnings trough, suggesting there’s only a bit more downside left before a 2023 turnaround.Ī turn in the tide is seen kicking off in Asia first, with Morgan Stanley projecting a return to growth for the industry by the second half of 2023. Ominous signals are also coming out of early chipmaker forecasts as they find themselves saddled with excess inventory: Samsung, Micron and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. ![]() The global personal computer market saw its steepest decline on record in the third quarter, according to Gartner, as economic uncertainty and a glut of unsold inventory dented shipments for the fourth straight quarter. The benchmark Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has fallen 42% this year, on track for its worst annual performance in 14 years as demand falls of a cliff. Having gone from boom to bust in less than a year, the semiconductor industry now is bracing for a storm that’s expected to hit everyone, from producers of memory chips to semiconductor-equipment makers and manufacturers of computer processors. is forcing analysts to slash earnings forecasts at the fastest pace since 2008. A string of warnings on semiconductor demand from the likes of Micron Technology Inc. ![]()
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